Zusammenfassung
The question why and how innovation occurs is a subject of hot debate in policy, science, and
economy. We describe a judgmental approach to innovation systems research that accounts for
the complexity and interdisciplinary character of innovation processes and policy impacts. An
interdisciplinary expert panel developed a qualitative model of an innovation system for a set of
five energy technologies. The model's systemic implications are analyzed using cross-impact
techniques. The findings offer reasons why technology characteristics influence innovation and
diffusion prospects, why different technologies require different innovation policy measures, and
why innovativeness is more robust for some technologies than for others.
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