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Can you trust your models uncertainty? Evaluating predictive uncertainty under dataset shift

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Can you trust your models uncertainty? Evaluating predictive uncertainty under dataset shift, , , , , , , , and . Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 32, Curran Associates, Inc., (2019)TensorFlow Distributions., , , , , , , , , and . CoRR, (2017)Fixing a Broken ELBO., , , , , and . ICML, volume 80 of Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, page 159-168. PMLR, (2018)Statistical and Computational Tradeoffs in Stochastic Composite Likelihood., and . AISTATS, volume 5 of JMLR Proceedings, page 129-136. JMLR.org, (2009)Statistical Translation, Heat Kernels and Expected Distances., , , and . UAI, page 93-100. AUAI Press, (2007)The Locally Weighted Bag of Words Framework for Document Representation., , and . J. Mach. Learn. Res., (2007)Sequential Document Visualization., , and . IEEE Trans. Vis. Comput. Graph., 13 (6): 1208-1215 (2007)Uncertainty in the Variational Information Bottleneck., , and . CoRR, (2018)A unified optimization framework for robust pseudo-relevance feedback algorithms., and . CIKM, page 1069-1078. ACM, (2010)Likelihood Ratios for Out-of-Distribution Detection., , , , , , , and . NeurIPS, page 14680-14691. (2019)